Health experts worry that CDC’s Covid vaccination rate appears to be too high
Yves came and I kicked myself gently. I noticed the starting point of this article. The CDC claimed that 99.9% of the 65-year-old age group was vaccinated, which is obviously false. Even in the small circle I know personally, like in people I have met or haven’t seen a long time ago (forgive me, but I don’t include NC readers at the party), I know three people over 65 Those who have not been vaccinated, are all upper-level income, have a higher education, and only one is a Trump fan. I would also like to know that Lambert’s vaccination rate has “increased significantly” at a rate of 0.1% per day almost every day. As I said in the comments, this regularity is reminiscent of Madoff.
The question is whether these exaggerated levels are fabricated to help the government, or are they the result of the level of incompetence that prevails in the US Covid data collection.
Author: Phil Galewitz, senior reporter for Kaiser Health News, covering health issues in Medicaid, Medicare, long-term care, hospitals, and various states. Previously, he worked for the Palm Beach Post and was a national health industry writer for the Associated Press and Patriot News in Harrisburg, Pennsylvania.Originally published on Caesars Health News
In the past month, the online vaccine tracker of the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention has shown that Almost everyone 65 years and older In the United States-99.9%-received at least one dose of the new crown vaccine.
That would be great-if it were true.
But health experts and state officials say this is definitely not.
They pointed out that according to the latest census data in 2019, as of December 5, the CDC recorded at least part of the number of vaccinated seniors (55.4 million) than the number of people in that age group (54.1 million). The CDC vaccination rate for residents is 65 and the age is significantly higher than the 89% vaccination rate found In the polls Conducted by KFF in November.
Similarly, a YouGov pollA survey conducted for The Economist last month found that 83% of people 65 and older said they had at least the initial dose of the vaccine.
CDC counts 21 states, and almost all elderly residents are at least partially vaccinated (99.9%).But several of these states show much lower numbers in their vaccine databases, including California with 86% vaccination and West Virginia with 86% vaccination Nearly 90% As of December 6.
CDC’s suspicious data on the vaccination rate for the elderly illustrate one of the potential problems with the CDC’s COVID vaccination data that health experts pointed out.
Dr. Howard Forman, professor of public health at Yale University School of Medicine, said that knowing exactly how many people roll up their sleeves for the new crown vaccine is critical to public health work.
“These numbers are important,” he said, especially when working to increase the booster dose rate. As of December 5, since the federal government provided the vaccine in September, approximately 47% of people 65 and older have received booster shots.
“I’m not sure how reliable the CDC numbers are,” he said, noting that there is a discrepancy between the state data and the agency’s 99.9% of senior citizens, which he said could not be correct.
“You want to know the best data to plan and prepare, and know where to place resources-especially where vaccination is severely insufficient,” Forman said.
For many reasons, it is difficult to obtain accurate figures on the proportion of vaccinated residents. The CDC and the states may use different population estimates. State data may not include residents who were vaccinated in states other than their place of residence or located in federal facilities (such as prisons) or clinics managed by the Veterans Health Administration or Indian Health Services.
CDC officials stated that if a person’s injection was made in a different state or even from a provider in the same city or state, the agency may not be able to determine whether a person is receiving the first dose, the second dose, or the booster. CDC spokesperson Scott Pauley said this may cause the CDC to overestimate the first dose and underestimate the booster dose.
The footnote of the CDC’s New Coronary Vaccine Data Tracker says: “Due to the need to delete personally identifiable information (de-identification) data to protect people’s privacy, vaccination in different jurisdictions or different providers When it comes to vaccines, there are challenges in linking doses.” webpage. “This means that even if CDC receives high-quality data from jurisdictions and federal entities, there are limitations in the way CDC analyzes this data.”
On its dashboard, the CDC has limited the percentage of the vaccinated population to 99.9%. But Poly said that its data may have multiple reasons. For example, the census denominator does not include everyone currently living in a specific county, such as part-time residents, or potential data reporting errors.
Liz Hamel, KFF’s vice president and head of public opinion and research, agrees that 99.9% of elderly people are unlikely to be vaccinated. She said there is a significant difference between the CDC vaccination rate and the vaccination rate found in KFF and other polls. “The truth may be somewhere in between,” she said.
Hamel pointed out that the KFF vaccination rates in spring and summer are closely related to the CDC data, but divergence began to appear in the fall, just when the booster injection was available.
KFF survey The percentage of adults showing at least partially vaccinated changed little from September to November, rising from 72% to 73%. However, CDC data showed that it rose from 75% in September to 81% in mid-November.
The CDC stated that as of December 5, 83.4% of adults had been vaccinated at least in part.
William Hanage, an associate professor of epidemiology at Harvard University, said this discrepancy puts the CDC’s numbers into question. He said that it is important to obtain accurate figures on the percentage of vaccinations among the elderly because this age group is most vulnerable to the serious consequences of the new coronavirus, including death.
Hanaki said: “It is important for them to treat them correctly, because people talk a lot, from worrying about cases to worrying about serious consequences such as hospitalization.” “The consequences of cases will increasingly depend on the proportion of unvaccinated and unvaccinated. , So properly handling this is crucial to understanding the pandemic.”
For example, data from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention shows that New Hampshire leads the country in vaccination rates, with approximately 88% of its total population vaccinated at least in part.
this New Hampshire Vaccine Dashboard State Department of Health and Human Services spokesperson Jake Leon (Jake Leon) said that 61.1% of residents were at least partially vaccinated, but due to data collection issues, the state did not count all those who were vaccinated at pharmacies.
In addition, Pennsylvania health officials stated that they have been working with the CDC to correct the vaccination rate data on the federal website. State health department spokesperson Mark O’Neill said the state is trying to delete duplicate vaccination records to ensure that the dose classification is correct-from the initial dose to the booster.
As part of the effort, in late November, the CDC reduced the proportion of adults in the state who received at least one dose of the vaccine from 98.9% to 94.6%. It also reduced the percentage of fully vaccinated elderly people from 92.5% to 84%.
However, the CDC has not changed its figures on the proportion of elderly people receiving partial vaccines. It is still 99.9%. The CDC dashboard shows that as of December 5, 3.1 million elderly people in Pennsylvania had at least partially vaccinated. Census dataIt shows that Pennsylvania has 2.4 million people 65 years and older.