Link 12/2/2021 | Naked Capitalism
Lanesboro helps drafters out of the ditch iBerkshires (resilc)
Why insects are more sensitive than they seem BBC (Dr. Kevin)
Five clichés that never really happened at office Christmas parties Daily mashed potatoes
Imagining the Invisible: Ten Years of the Fukushima Disaster Science Focus (David L)
The United Nations says that more than one-third of the world’s population has never used the Internet guardian.The penetration rate of mobile phones in Africa is only 50%, which may include some dumb phones
DeepMind’s AI helps solve the mathematical problem of knots Nature (Kevin W)
Dream empire John Michael Greer (Chuck L)
Science/medicine. Gosh, in Freud’s note, I entered “marketing” instead of “medicine”
This interactive map shows where Covid omicron variants were detected NBC Finance Channel
We will see more effort to estimate Omicron’s R0:
What follows is a speculative estimate of Omicron’s propagation speed and discusses how to allocate this fast propagation speed between inherent propagation and immune escape. 1/18
— Trevor Bedford (@trvrb) December 1, 2021
I asked GM his reaction:
The analysis is okay, the parameters are uncertain.
My bet is R_0 or higher near Delta and is almost completely immune to escape
He is more optimistic about both
Epidemiological relevance of COVID-19 vaccinated population is increasing The Lancet (RR) representative part:
The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) identified four of the top five counties with the highest percentage of fully vaccinated populations (99.9-84.3%) as “high” transmission counties. Many decision makers believe that people who have been vaccinated can be excluded as a source of transmission. When deciding on public health control measures, ignoring the vaccinated population is a possible source of related transmission, which seems to be a serious negligence.
Warning: The mental health crisis triggered by COVID will be a costly second pandemic Institute of New Economic Thinking
Cognitive bias in crisis decision-making COVID-19 Actuary Response Team. PlutoniumKun highlights:
For those who are scientifically trained, it is not easy to consider precautions before collecting the observed data. The Chief Medical Officer of England, Professor Chris Whitty, told the Science and Technology Committee in November 2020 that he would prefer to make recommendations based on observed data. This is a perfectly reasonable and reasonable preference, but it is clearly inappropriate in emergency situations when there is no time for ideal data collection. The opposite approach is seen in Singapore: in April 2020, wearing a mask becomes a mandatory requirement rather than being discouraged. This is a common-sense courtesy to others, long before clear scientific evidence of its value is obtained.
Some experts believe that Omicron variants may have evolved in animal hosts state. GM suspects:
This is more likely to be the origin of the weakened immune function.
I have a feeling that people are trying not to go there because they don’t want to bring stigma to South Africa-this is really important, and it will have this impact.
But all the parts are perfectly combined:
1. We know that chronic infections produce strange mutations. We have observed this type of infection many times.In the west and south africa
2. It comes from South Africa, the place with the largest number of immunocompromised people on the planet. The other three very worrying variants have come from-B.1.351, C.1.2, B.1.638-more than anywhere else in the world.
3. It does not come from countless other places that have seen human-to-human transmission.
4. Insertion at position 214, repeated in SARS-CoV-2, directly linked to polymerase, borrowing a sequence from mRNA. This sequence matches human mRNA.
5. On the spike protein, especially in RBD, there is a very strong positive selection feature.Of course, this may be an adaptation to a new host, but it is more concisely interpreted as choosing immune evasion during long-term chronic infections
Basil Pesto on Scottie from Marketing’s buck pass:
Today I am having a meeting with senior managers of a large organization to discuss Covid. A few things impressed me:
1) The government’s refusal to eliminate Covid in the community simply means passing a fast pass to businesses to eliminate it in their businesses. /2
-?? Henry Madison DPhil (ageRageSheen) December 1, 2021
“Lemon”: Alliance strives to keep Covidsafe application data confidential Guardian (Basil Pesto)
JPMorgan Chase strategists said that as Omicron may accelerate the end of the pandemic, buy on dips Bloomberg. Tell the story immediately. Yes, for money manager clients who help JPM, the bonus depends on the year-end results. Or as a successful investor once pointed out, when you see someone peddling stock on CNBC, your reservation is not that they own it. That is they are uninstalling it.
Vermont has just adopted a climate action plan. This is how it says we should reduce emissions. Vermont Public Radio (David L)
Worried about Peng Shuai, WTA suspends Chinese tennis tournaments Sydney Morning Herald. Kevin W:
A female tennis player said that this would mean the Women’s Tennis Association lost 300 million US dollars, and this would have to look elsewhere. So when does the Tennis Professional Association do the same to men?
Germany’s incoming foreign minister vowed to take a hard line against China The Straits Times. Kevin W: “She kind of reminds me of Samantha Ball.”
The Indian peasant movement shattered Narendra Modi’s strongman image Jacobin (Chuck L)
Cooperation between India, Pakistan and the Taliban Asia Times (Kevin W)
EU officials: semiconductor independence is impossible Tom’s hardware
New cold war
Russia’s attack on Ukraine is imminent? Gilbert Doctorow (Guurst)
Tel Aviv ranks among the most expensive cities in the world for the first time France24 (resilc). Aiee, there is definitely no Sydney, Paris or Hong Kong.
Senate skeptics are right: stop selling missiles to Saudi Arabia American Conservative Party (resilc)
Big brother is watching you
Simon Sanders leaves the vice president’s office politics. The mouse left the sinking ship. The complaint that was apparently leaked to the media was that Biden did not treat Harris like her team, and Harris thought it would almost certainly not work well.
Gosh, so right-wingers who talk about pedophilia are not completely crazy, even if it (merely) covers up pedophilia instead of “rings.” But now we will not hear its end.
“An employee had sexual contact with a 2-year-old and a 6-year-old child.”
The CIA document stated that the staff had committed sexual crimes involving children. They have not been prosecuted. https://t.co/ndPQIhyN97
— Crystal Ball (@krystalball) December 2, 2021
Democratic Party pajamas
Secretary of State Campaign: 2022 is more important and more complicated than ever – Sabato’s crystal ball (user friendly). The secretary of state in most states oversees and certifies elections.
What Americans really think about abortion FiveThirtyEight (resilc)
Women across the U.S. fight for abortion rights NPR (furry)
If Roe is overthrown, abortion may take 200 miles Axios (resilc)
Black injustice tipping point
A white woman in New York City drove a BMW through 50 Manhattan BLM protesters. The protesters refused to plead guilty and sentenced to six days of community service. Instead, they demanded a trial: said activists started assaulting luxury cars while she was driving down the street Daily mail. I can’t believe she got the deal. It will be tested in New York. Typical jurors are middle/lower-middle-class urban employees or hourly workers. Have a certain degree of sympathy for BLM in the city, but have a lot of dislike for those who drive by themselves (if you are wealthy, usually you have a car just to go out on weekends and park your car) in many or your buildings In the garage), not to mention the luxury car drivers who think that the rules do not apply to them. DA also doesn’t like criminals who disrupt plea deals. I hope the prosecutor bombed her, but it looks like she has been kicked so far.
Michigan school shooting: suspect, 15 years old, accused of being an adult British Broadcasting Corporation
Alec Baldwin said he did not pull the trigger in the Rust shot guardian. Kevin W: “‘Police officer. Officer. It just disappeared in my hands.'”
Solve the supply chain chaos and compete with Wall Street Washington monthly
-Ian Fraser (@Ian_Fraser) December 2, 2021
The legend of temperament between Jeff Bezos and the Inquirer reaches the final chapter The Wall Street Journal. Remember dick pix?
> MLB, MLBPA failed to reach a new labor-management agreement; ESPN’s first league suspension since 1990
Have you noticed that in the past few years, it has become more and more difficult to understand film dialogue? Do I have to turn on subtitles when I watch something at home to understand every line? You are not alone. This is what is happening, and some potential fixes: https://t.co/GOQ5zMWvZ2
— Ben Pearson (@benpears) November 30, 2021
The latest news from one of my pet disturbances: Dimash Kudaibergen “Ikanaide” | The 20th Tokyo Jazz Festival YouTube.notes
Dimash sings in Japanese, and native speakers say that he has mastered the pronunciation.
Daily antidote (Greg S):
There is also a reward (Ian P):
“Your phone is now one of us” pic.twitter.com/EbOZwoeY3r
-Outer area (@outerareas_) November 29, 2021
Who wants to see the most beautiful girl in the world? ?????? pic.twitter.com/4gBjeWMk1w
-Andrea Riquier (@ARiquier) November 30, 2021
See yesterday’s link and antidote du Jour here.