Here are the most predictable coins for 2021 – for those who know where to look

Here are the most predictable coins for 2021 – for those who know where to look

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The past performance of digital assets is by no means a guarantee of future price movements. There are never two identical situations in the crypto market, so even historically similar patterns of coin behavior can show vastly different price charts.

Nonetheless, individual price action histories of cryptoassets tend to rhyme, giving those who can prepare that history a huge advantage over other traders. And, importantly, some coins are more likely to exhibit recurring behavior than others, making their bullish setup easier to identify ahead of time.

Cointelegraph Market Pro, a subscription-based data intelligence platform whose job is to search for the regularity of past trading behavior of crypto assets and alert traders to the historical bullishness of individual assets, has been online for nearly a year. Based on a year of coin performance data, here are the assets that have historically exhibited bullish trading conditions most often, and their subsequent price dynamics.

Top 20 Digital Assets by Days with VOLTECS™ Scores of 80, 85 and 90. source: Cointelegraph Market Pro

This chart shows the top 20 digital assets by total number of instances when they reached a VORTECS™ score of 80. The VORTCS™ score is an algorithmic metric that takes into account many variables around each token – including market outlook, price movement, social sentiment and trading activity – to assess whether its current condition is historically bullish, neutral or bearish . Traditionally, a VORTCS™ score above 80 is considered confidently bullish, while 90 and above indicates that the model is confident in the asset’s extremely favorable outlook.

While Metaverse tokens take first and third place on this list — Axie Infinity Shards (AXS) and Decentraland’s SAND, respectively — none of the digital asset sectors dominate the charts, as are layer-one protocols and Decentralized Finance (DeFi) tokens are widely represented in the top 20. As can be seen from these data, the likelihood of a coin exhibiting historically favorable trading patterns does not depend on its asset class.

For example, AXS scored over 80 points 75 times, while layer-one protocol Avalanche’s AVAX token recorded 42 historically favorable prospects, and DeFi token COTI had 40 high VORTECS™ days.

Average return generated by the top 20 high VORTECS™ assets 24, 48 and 96 hours after reaching 80 and 90 points. source: Cointelegraph Market Pro

The second chart shows the average earnings of VORTCS™ frequent performers at 24, 48 and 96 hours after scoring 80 and 90. Few bars point below zero, but most show solid positive returns, meaning most assets are consistently appreciated after showing strong bullish conditions. Here is AVAX, one of the top performers:

24 hours after 80 minutes: 2.5% average increase

48 hours after 80 minutes: 5.3% average increase

96 hours after 80 minutes: 10.4% average increase

24 hours after 90 minutes: Average increase of 10.8%

48 hours after score of 90: Average increase of 16.0%

96 hours after 90 minutes: 19.1% average increase

Other high scorers have more impressive returns in certain time frames.On the one hand, Terra’s Luna The 48 and 96 hours after earning a VOLTECS™ 90 were excellent, with average returns of 31.7% and 40.9%, respectively.

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Granted, some assets have been inconsistent, with average returns above and below zero, while others such as AAVE, Loopring’s LRC and Origin Protocol’s OGN tend to depreciate after flashing historical bullish patterns.

Nonetheless, most of the featured assets performed very positively, outperforming the market by a wide margin. This trend is observable in hundreds of VORTECS™ Score instances and remains strong over a 12-month period that includes bull, bear and sideways market action. This may not be a universal law, but it is clear that there is a large group of well-performing crypto coins whose histories tend to rhyme, much to the delight of savvy traders.

Cointelegraph is a publisher of financial information, not an investment advisor. We do not provide personalized or personalized investment advice. Cryptocurrencies are volatile investments that carry significant risks, including the risk of permanent and total loss. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Figures and graphs were correct at the time of writing or otherwise stated. Field-tested strategies are not recommendations. Please consult your financial advisor before making a financial decision.

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