The Omicron case in Denmark is serious and the overall incidence is not too high
As more and more conflicting evidence appeared on the seriousness of the case, the American media and some experts who wanted to become experts continued to have a pleasant conversation with Omicron. Remember, as we have emphasized, the baseline is problematic, because outside of the UK REACT survey, no one has a good grasp of the total number of Covid cases, because asymptomatic cases are rarely found. And it’s not that people who are asymptomatically infected are harmless. A large-scale study until February 2021, An estimated 20% of asymptomatic Covid cases cause long-term Covid infection. This is more actively copying Delta before becoming dominant.
There is reason to believe that Omicron’s case is not as serious as it was prematurely. Let’s start with the lag time between the appearance of the disease and the first death:
As for how deadly Omicron can be, please think about it.
The first wave of gap btwn first case and first death (official)
From: 42 (January 28; March 10)
France: 22 (January 24; February 15)
United Kingdom: 36 (February 1; March 7)
United States: 40 (January 20; February 29)
Few triage/medicine, no vaccine, but the first death was more than 1 month…
— Omicron News (@OmicronFacts) December 13, 2021
For the subsequent wave, we also saw other patterns that led to underestimation of the severity. First of all, this is the story at the beginning of every major Covid wave. Young people with stronger immune systems have infected most early cases because they are generally more social and tend to be less strict about self-protection. Second, hospitalizations and deaths track infections. Third, especially for South Africa, whose population is young (the average age is 27, compared to 37 in the United States and over 40 in the United Kingdom), which will weaken the worst results to a certain extent.
As we all know, Omicron is highly contagious, so even in less serious cases, more infections may cause the hospital system to collapse, but RSA does not prove that Omicron is not that bad:
The number of COVID19 hospitalizations surged to a surge in cases after 2-3 weeks. The number of hospital/ICU admissions in South Africa (especially Gauteng) has surged (the 47/48 week in the chart is from November 22 to December 5).
> 70% of cases are Omicron; stupidly claim that no Omicron patient is in the hospital/intensive care unit… pic.twitter.com/Egxiz83tcJ
— Omicron News (@OmicronFacts) December 13, 2021
We have disturbing data from Denmark, and it does a good job of reporting:
Today’s omicron report from Denmark compares the percentage of cases requiring hospitalization between delta and omicron. The omicron is higher, and most omicron cases in Denmark have just been diagnosed, which means that there is not enough time for hospitalization:https://t.co/ZstMAZZ2bd pic.twitter.com/Ln3Rq7roJI
-Nurit Baytch (@NuritBaytch) December 13, 2021
This is the age distribution of omicron cases in Denmark. They tend to be young, so this raises questions about what happens when omicron spreads to the elderly:https://t.co/ZstMAZZ2bd pic.twitter.com/XBa19qaV5k
-Nurit Baytch (@NuritBaytch) December 13, 2021
77% of the Danish population is fully vaccinated, and 22% of the population is vaccinated.
With the rise of Omicron, we have also seen in the comments section the resurgence of memes that Covid is no worse than flu.I suspect this is being touted online as part of an informal campaign to protect the holidays expenditure Celebrations. Therefore, we need to remind readers again that the negative impact of Covid does not only come from death or hospitalization. Unlike the flu, it can and often destroys various disturbing functions.
At least long-term Covid is getting more and more attention, but like chronic fatigue syndrome and advanced Lyme disease, those who have not been infected with it may find it difficult to make people feel weak. Due to the wide range of symptoms, it proved difficult to determine. The second issue that affects Covid research is usually the time required to organize and execute research, review data, write papers, and accept publication. For example, this can easily lag by one year, which means that almost all of the reviewed studies are before Delta.
Nevertheless, a study from February 2020 to February 2021 estimated that 20% of asymptomatic cases resulted in long-term Covid. A meta-study from the Pennsylvania School of Medicine concluded that half of those infected with Covid have already developed Covid. From their article:
Since December 2019, more than half of the 236 million people who have been diagnosed with COVID-19 worldwide will develop post-COVID-19 symptoms within up to 6 months after recovery—commonly referred to as “long COVID-19.” “.
…. The survivors have experienced a series of residual health problems related to COVID-19. Usually, these complications affect the patient’s overall health, mobility or organ system. Overall, one in two survivors have experienced long-term COVID symptoms. From one month to six months or more after their initial illness, these rates remain basically the same.
Investigators noticed several trends among survivors, such as:
General health: More than half of patients report weight loss, fatigue, fever or pain.
fluidity: About one-fifth of survivors have decreased mobility.
Nervous system problems:Nearly a quarter of survivors have difficulty concentrating.
Mental health disorders:Nearly one-third of patients have been diagnosed with generalized anxiety disorder.
Lung abnormalities:Six out of ten survivors had abnormal chest imaging, and more than a quarter had difficulty breathing.
Cardiovascular problems:Chest pain and palpitations are one of the common conditions.
Skin condition: Alopecia or rash occurs in nearly one-fifth of patients.
Digestive problems:Stomach pain, loss of appetite, diarrhea and vomiting are common conditions.
Research on whether vaccines can prevent long-term Covid has been mixed. An article from late November in Nature:
The vaccine first reduces the risk of long-term COVID-19 by reducing the chance of contracting COVID-19. But for those who have indeed experienced breakthrough infections, research shows that vaccination may only reduce the risk of long-term COVID infection by half—or no effect at all…
Currently, public health officials are turning a blind eye to long-term COVID and vaccination. Although vaccines have greatly reduced the serious illness and mortality caused by COVID-19, they are not as effective in preventing disease completely, and long-term COVID may occur even after mild or asymptomatic coronavirus infection. Even if the country’s vaccination rate is high, countries with high infection rates may still have many long-term COVID cases.
IM Doc reported more collateral damage. From the most recent email:
Except for lung-related problems immediately after SARS-if the patient survives, most people seem to be improving. Vascular problems (MI, DVT, PE, CVA after weeks and months) and brain problems are so far Leave the most important thing. Brain fog, depression, and memory loss are the most common brain functions. I now also see highly advanced intellectuals being forced to resign. They no longer have attention and are unable to do their job. In the past month, a nuclear physicist and a climatologist in their 50s have both told me that they can no longer correctly evaluate the data set and perform calculations and will retire in the near future.
Another worrying thing I started to hear from my oncology friends is the absolute explosive growth of soft tissue cancers that is happening. This is especially true for malignant melanoma and renal cell carcinoma. One of my oncology colleagues told me a few days ago that he discovered that these two types of cancers are parabolic in particular-the cause of these two soft tissue cancers is most related to immune system disorders, which is very disturbing. Lymphoma and myeloma are also clearly off the chart.
The media seems content to tell everyone that this happened due to a delayed diagnosis [due to lockdowns]. A year ago I could see its effectiveness. Now, this assumption is pure madness. There are face-to-face visits everywhere in my own office. Most remote visits have ended, and are actually only used for acute COVID and laboratory results and long-distance patients.
This was predicted last year, when the role of the virus on T cells became clear.
You have experienced a major T cell exhaustion and disorder event, and then you have fewer T cells to monitor your own cells for malignant tumors. As a result, one of the body’s key mechanisms for clearing tumors has been weakened. The aging immune system is not very good at dealing with them, which is one of the reasons why older people get cancer more frequently (and the accumulation of mutations over time).
Well, this virus directly causes cellular immune disorders, so logically, it should also cause cancer outbreaks. If what you see proves to be a trend, and if it is these two types of explosions that are very reliable supporting evidence, then the hypothesis will prove to be correct.
So don’t deceive yourself. cover up. ventilation. Be very picky about the people you see on holidays. If the weather is good, you can find all kinds of excuses to keep it outdoors. It is best to be a miser this year and have more happy and healthy Christmas in the future.