The Hawks’ potential first-round pick against Carson Wentz becomes unlikely

The Hawks’ potential first-round pick against Carson Wentz becomes unlikely

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For some Philadelphia Eagles fans, one of the interesting aspects of the 2021 NFL season will be peripheral monitoring of the Miami Dolphins, Indianapolis Colts and former starting quarterback Carson Wentz. Their performance The ever-important draft capital that will affect the Birds in 2022.

The Hawks have the Dolphins’ first-round draft pick in 2022, so the interest in there is simple. Ideally, the Dolphins will become a bad football team in 2021 and lose as many games as possible.

The Eagles also have at least the Colts’ second-round pick, and if they meet at least one of the following two conditions, they can become a first-round pick:

  1. Wentz played at least 75% of the time in Indianapolis’ offensive fast break.
  2. Wentz played at least 70% of the Indy fast break, and the Colts entered the playoffs.

The rooting interest there is a little more complicated. Ideally, Wentz will stay healthy and the Colts will be good enough to not let him sit on the bench, but not so good that the draft picks will fall at the end of the first round.

Unfortunately, Wentz’s ability to achieve 70% to 75% snapshots always takes a journey. There are three important reasons to believe that the Hawks’ second-round pick from the Indians is unlikely to become a first-round pick:

  1. Wentz is easily injured.
  2. Wentz declined to comment on his vaccination status.
  3. Wentz performed poorly last season.

Let us unravel these points one by one:

Wentz gets hurt easily

First, let’s take a look at Wentz’s regular season snapshot count history:

year Snap Percentage of offensive snapshots played
2016 1127 99.5%
2017 879 77.7%
2018 724 66.3%
2019 year 1169 98.7%
2020 year 808 71.6%

Three of those seasons were enough to get first-round picks, but Wentz is now older, his body has been punished a lot in five seasons, and his status in the NFL (he is the face of the team) For example, in Philadelphia ) Now it’s not the same as before.

Of course, in the playoffs, Wentz’s snapshot count history looks like this:

year Snap Percentage of offensive snapshots played
2017 0 0.0%
2018 0 0.0%
2019 year 9 13.0%

During his five-year career in Philadelphia (and even college), Wentz suffered more serious injuries than his share:

  1. 2015 (NDSU): Wentz fractured his right wrist and required surgery. He missed eight games.
  2. 2016 (Hawks): Wentz fractured his rib in the team’s first preseason game against the Buccaneers, causing him to miss the next three preseason games. He did not miss any regular season, but if the injury occurred during the regular season, he would almost certainly be absent.
  3. 2017 (Hawks): Wentz tore his ACL and LCL against the Rams in December and missed the remainder of the 2017 season.
  4. 2018 (Hawks): Due to the 2017 ACL/LCL tear, Wentz missed the first two games of the season.
  5. 2018 (Hawks): Wentz missed the last three games of the regular season due to a back injury for unknown reasons.
  6. 2019 season (Hawks): Wentz suffered a concussion in the playoffs against the Seahawks. It is undeniable that it was due to a cheap shot by Jadeveon Clowney. However, Wentz’s play style can be said to make him able to withstand This blow. (Technically, this injury occurred in 2020.)
  7. 2021 (Pony): Wentz already has a foot injury, After two days of training camp, Its severity is still to be determined.

Reports of injuries surfaced on Friday morning, and initial signs indicate that his absence from training is a preventive measure. Over time, follow-up reports on the severity of the injury have become more and more worrying.

Even if Wentz is finally ready for the start of the season due to a recent foot injury, this should still be a sober reminder that he is injured… a lot of.

Wentz declined to comment on his vaccination status

this is List of 371 players on the NFL Covid-19 IR list Sometime in the 2020 season. It was released on December 27, 2020, so some players did not show up after that date. any. The point here is that last season, a large number of players had to miss different time slots on the Covid-19 roster.

Based on this:

Players who are not vaccinated are more likely to miss the time on the Covid-19 list than those who are vaccinated. #analyze.

Wentz went crazy last season

Wentz can be said to be the worst starting quarterback in the NFL in 2020. Although the Colts’ threshold for improvement in 2021 is very low, he is likely to be terrible in 2021. If he really stinks again, the Colts will probably also stink, and they will substitute him before he reaches 70% of the team’s requirements. In terms of value, Indy’s Super Bowl odds are ranked 12th — +3300 — According to Pickswise.

Overview

For most of the offseason, I think we (fans, media, teams, etc.) think that the Eagles have three first-round picks in 2022. We should probably start to consider that they have two first-round picks, and if they end up with three, they will be pleasantly surprised.


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