A government report leaked today shows that failure to remove all restrictions on July 19 will have a devastating impact on the event industry.
An analysis made for ministers shows that wearing masks alone will reduce the industry’s revenue by nearly one-fifth, leaving companies in trouble.
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More stringent measures, such as requiring vaccine passports and banning the sale of alcohol and food, will bring even greater catastrophic consequences.
At the same time, the current restrictions have had a devastating effect on trade, and current turnover is only 60% of pre-pandemic capacity.
The results of the investigation will put pressure on Boris Johnson to go all out next month and abandon all remaining Covid containment measures.
They came from a leaked file to review the mass incidents obtained by reopening Politico for No 10 review.
The officials responsible for studying the economic impact of restrictions on the activity industry paint a stark picture.
They listed three situations—high, medium, and low intervention—in which case social distancing would be eliminated, but some other rules would remain.
High intervention will result in venues having to wear masks for up to two hours, requiring Covid passports, and prohibiting food and beverages.
According to the report, in this case, the turnover of the entire industry can only reach 69% of the pre-pandemic.
Theaters, cinemas and commercial activities will be hit even harder, achieving only 59% of normal cash flow and a loss of 4.88 billion pounds.
But the hardest hit are nightclubs and performances, whose income will plummet to 37% of 2019 levels.
Moderate intervention will lift the ban on alcohol sales, but other interventions will still exist and will have severe effects.
In this case, the turnover of the industry can only reach 78%, only 71% of indoor venues with seats, and only 48% of non-seat venues.
Even the lowest form of intervention, which will only see the retention of masks, will have a devastating impact on the industry.
The overall turnover will still drop by nearly one-fifth, with indoor seating venues accounting for 72% and non-seat venues accounting for only 65%.
An internal government poll found that maintaining restrictions will significantly reduce customer demand in the industry.
People said that if they are forced to wear masks, their probability of participating in activities will be reduced by 28%, and if food and beverage sales are prohibited, their probability of participating in activities will be reduced by 43%.
But the mandatory testing actually made people feel at ease. Respondents said they were 15% more likely to participate in venues with such testing.
The results of the investigation appeared in a report drafted for the event research program, which is studying how to completely reopen the economy.
The pilot event included the Euro 2020 match at Wembley, where England played against the Czech Republic last night with 25,000 fans.
In the semifinals and finals at the beginning of next month, this number will increase to 60,000.
But under this plan, fans must wear masks and provide proof of double vaccinations or negative tests before they can enter the stadium.
And there is speculation that even after Freedom Day on July 19, the Prime Minister may decide to keep some restrictions.
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Some have suggested that even if social distancing is abolished, measures such as masks, mass testing and Covid passports may become the norm.
The Minister of Culture, John Whittingdale (John Whittingdale) said that the final report on the reopening of mass activities will be released before Freedom Day.
He added: “I hope that we can lift many restrictions before July 19.”